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Does HRT increase breast cancer risk?

Reviewed by Kindr Health Clinical Team · Last reviewed July 3, 2026

Answer published

The Women's Health Initiative — the trial people quote — actually showed estrogen-alone HRT (for women without a uterus) slightly reduced breast cancer incidence and mortality. Combined estrogen-plus-progestin showed a small absolute increase after ~5 years of use: roughly 1 additional case per 1,000 women per year. For perspective, this is smaller than the risk added by 1 drink of alcohol per day or by being obese. Newer combined regimens using micronized progesterone (not the synthetic progestins used in WHI) appear to have an even smaller signal. The conversation should always be about your personal baseline risk, not population averages.

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